Future chat group - Chapter 826 Magnifying Move
A single Thunder institution only dares to bear a risk exposure of 40 billion, but with the cooperation of cooperative institutions, it can bear greater risks. The question is how to make the volume explode?
“Increase the thickness of the selling order accordingly!” Lei Hao gave this answer.
If you don’t take the order, I won’t suppress the index. I will place a large number of selling orders to force you to take the lead. How dare you not take the order? Consider the consequences.
When selling is out of proportion to volume, the market outlook is almost firmly bearish.
The risk is that the opponent may shelve the project, wait for the low position to build a position, and then slowly pull it back up. When the exposure is too large, will Mayor and others be inclined to accept the reality of book losses in the year-end statements?
If this is the case, the market will not produce results in a short period of time, but will take months to decide the outcome.
There have also been considerable technical changes.
On November 21st, a large number of selling orders piled up, as if dark clouds were covering the market, weighing the market down. As everyone knows, the final hedging has begun. In the short term, the Korean market cannot afford any larger volume. able.
In other words, if the time for hedging and building a position is limited to one or two weeks, the most exaggerated amount of energy will be like this. Unless you let the index fall, it will rise. Otherwise, there is only so much.
From the opening to 10 a.m., selling orders exploded in the Korean market, but there were no buying orders.
Obviously, after a night of deliberations, the bulls still have no unified opinion.
Without capacity, it means that Thunder’s position building work cannot be completed. However, other institutions are allocating funds and gathering them here.
It’s like a beacon. You light it, but no enemy appears. So… among those gentlemen from Thunder, who will play the role of praise? Is Lei Hao planning to use beacon fire to trick the princes?
“Damn, I knew it.” Leo’s somewhat depressed voice sounded: “Thunder, those eggless guys have shrunk. The same market, different amounts of energy, must have different hedging positions.”
Leo was talking about a financial theory. The market remains unchanged and the increase or decrease in quantity energy means that the location of quantity energy will also change.
This is due to the unbalanced balance between long and short forces. Based on the hedging baseline, the greater the volume energy, the greater the influence factor. As long as the hedging plate remains unchanged, the fluctuation range will narrow and the median line will definitely fluctuate up and down.
The power of the short side has become stronger. According to common sense, the hedging position must be lowered, because everyone knows that the rising space is compressed by the increased power and the pressure is increased.
“There is energy.” Lei Hao muttered: “Leo, the probability of energy appearing is much higher than you think. You are not Chinese, you don’t understand.”
It is difficult for foreigners to understand China’s diplomatic environment first-hand. We don’t talk about politics, only economics. What is the cost of Chinese investment from going global to fully establishing a foothold? 3 trillion US dollars in foreign exchange reserves!
Treating currency as an accumulation of value, where does the $3 trillion in foreign exchange come from? The blood and sweat of the Chinese people are there.
The United States has no foreign exchange reserves because it does not need them. The U.S. dollar is the dominant currency. Everything that can be bought and sold in the world can be priced in U.S. dollars. From another perspective, the world is lending money to the United States.
As for Sino-US relations…it’s okay not to talk about it.
Yu Rong, Su Yiwen, and Xiang Yongze did not question Lei Hao’s decision. Qingyu, Hanlon, Xinfeng and other institutions did not hold back Lei Hao. The reason is that they are all Chinese and Chinese-funded institutions. .
Only by looking at it from China’s perspective can we see that there is a greater possibility that the Korean market will definitely be able to take on sales.
The short-sellers have changed from Thunder to a combination of Chinese-funded institutions, and the long-sellers will immediately receive greater political support. This is the basis for the emergence of quantitative energy.
“Capital has a political stance.” This thought silently emerged in everyone’s mind.
“We are a Chinese-funded institution!” Everyone began to have this idea.
“So, how much support will we get? How much hostile force do we need to face?” This is where everyone is uncertain.
But no matter what, the probability of energy appearing is far higher than Leo imagined. He thought it was less than 50%, but Lei Hao and the Chinese were very sure that if it was less than 50%, they would eat the document!
“It will definitely appear! And as soon as it appears, the central bank will definitely communicate with us!” Lei Hao was very sure of this in his heart.
At 10:10, the Korean market continued to be shrouded in a large number of selling orders. However, as everyone watched nervously, the selling orders began to decrease at an extremely fast speed, and the energy column suddenly rose a lot.
“Take over!”
“2570!”
The amount of energy is blowing out, and funds are hedging at a certain characteristic point as if there is no technical content. But in fact, every number has been calculated by both parties for a long time.
As capital moved, information began to ripple, and the Thunder became busy.
However, there will definitely be no big movement on the information side before both parties complete the opening of the position. At this level of capital confrontation, there are many issues involved, especially this time the operation is different from the past, and the operation involving the basic market is more complicated, and the consequences It is also more serious.
The Korean market has also been fluctuating within a narrow range in a specific area. The volume has been blowing out for several consecutive days. In addition to the main force, other funds have entered the market one after another, but they have only hedged against each other and have not caused an imbalance in the balance.
Everyone is waiting, waiting for the volume to shrink back, to see whether the bulls’ peak search is successful.
On November 24, Friday, the first day after Thanksgiving, the Korean market continued to explode for five days, with both transaction volume and turnover rate rewriting historical records.
Thunder’s risk exposure finally increased to US$40 billion, and the bullish positions were collectively sold out. Institutions such as Hanlon, Qingyu, and Xinfeng followed suit, and their positions probably reached US$40 billion, plus hedging from other capitals. , the Korean market is like a dynamite barrel.
In the five trading days, the market confrontation dazzled all financial practitioners. The long-short confrontation was like a textbook. The rhythm of hedging, the timing of bad or good news, and the competition for the index were all enough for the research department of the institution to write several articles. A 100,000-word analysis report.
After the positions were sufficient, everyone tacitly agreed to withdraw their troops. Both parties knew what was going to happen next: it was time to reveal their trump cards.
“The U.S.-South Korea Free Trade Agreement has expanded its content and plans to negotiate on automobile import tariffs and import and export restrictions on agricultural and livestock products. The President of South Korea will visit the United States in December…” On Friday afternoon, the bulls could not bear it for a moment, and it was directly released by Yonhap News Agency information that had been suppressed for a long time.
News such as military exercises and economic data were all suppressed at this moment. As we all know, the impact of the US-South Korea Free Trade Agreement on the South Korean economy is almost the most important thing. The military exercise released such a signal, The stimulation to the Korean market can be imagined.
What financial institutions know better is that this is the big move that bulls are holding back. It does not require free trade agreement negotiations to produce good results for South Korea, but as long as there is a probability of good results, it will eventually stimulate the Korean market.
But the short sellers were not incompetent. Lei Hao knew very well that the next step was for him to exchange interests with Wang Huachen and his group.
You know, the trade volume between China and South Korea has gradually surpassed the trade volume between the United States and South Korea in recent years.