Future chat group - Chapter 863 Plan

In the financial circle, no big institution has reached its peak by smooth sailing. A group of top institutions such as HSBC, Ketak, Goldman Sachs and Morgan all have their representative battles. Why do financial institutions such as Prudential and Standard Chartered always They are half a level behind top financial institutions because they have no representative battles.

What I have done is very important to financial institutions. The so-called representative battle is to make a solemn statement to the market: This is my strongest state! I am an institution that can reach this level.

Therefore, everyone knows that HSBC dominated the Asia-Pacific after World War II, and that Ketak once ravaged Europe. They also know that Morgan provoked US federal legislation against financial group monopoly, and experienced the era when Goldman Sachs launched continuous mergers and acquisitions in Europe and the United States.

In just two years, Lei Hao has become a legend in the financial circle, but he and his Thunder are not yet engraved on the most glorious page of financial history.

Whether it is conquering the Chinese market, establishing LEI to attack ATE, or shorting the Nikkei, or strangulating opponents in the Korean market, they are still one level away from the top.

From the perspective of asset level, we can also conclude that the Thunder cannot compare with top large institutions.

But it is recognized in the circle that Lei Hao and his Thunder are the next king most likely to reach the top. He is a 24-year-old legend, and he is still on the road to creating miracles.

The most important thing is that the rise of China has given Lei Hao and Lei Lei a great boost. As long as they have the ability and the opportunity, things will come.

From a financial perspective, China and the world will definitely have a battle. The only difference is who can be a teammate and who is an enemy.

The talk of common development is empty talk. Even if it is common development, some people will always be fast and some will be slow. Who is willing to lag behind others? War is inevitable. Under nuclear deterrence, financial war has been ongoing. The adjustment of China’s foreign exchange reserve structure is one manifestation.

A piece of information flashed through his mind, but the Thunder’s senior management was still a little timid. Is this coming soon?

If the hedging with Taihe is a battle to determine China’s fate, this time Lei Hao wants to provoke a corresponding hedging of the US dollar exchange rate, which is the clarion call sounded by Lei Hao’s attack on the throne.

“It’s too early, we still need some time.” Su Yiwen now stopped thinking about the interests of the organizational department and said, “Take your time, we can always accumulate enough strength.”

“We can’t touch the entire U.S. dollar market, and the group can’t do it yet.” Leo also shook his head, but there was a hint of reluctance in his tone.

The rest of the people were also silent.

Big events in the financial market don’t just happen if you want to hedge. One billion or eighty billion is okay. If you scan the global market, Thunder has a way to quickly take the position. Eighty billion is very difficult.

According to Lei Hao’s information and tone, he wants to target the entire related market of the U.S. dollar. Eighty-eighty billion is said to be less. Where will the capacity come from? It must be an opportunity that is recognized by the opponent.

For example, the Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates, U.S. economic data is improving, and the U.S. dollar is bullish in the future. In this case, Thunder’s short selling will definitely lead to North American institutions to come out for hedging. Then what? You are at a disadvantage.

If the market outlook for the U.S. dollar is bearish and you go short, only a fool will hedge against you.

Therefore, it is difficult for the Thunder to find a hedging opportunity where one side thinks its winning rate is high and the other side also thinks their winning rate is high.

But from a financial perspective, this kind of opportunity can be tried to create.

The simplest model is to inject funds and produce good economic data, then the U.S. dollar appreciates and the Fed’s interest rate hike expectations increase, and then the funds are withdrawn to earn the exchange rate scissor difference and the profits gained during the period.

To describe it in the simplest language, it is “trouble on Tai Sui’s head”, and what Lei Hao wants to do is to stir up trouble on Tai Sui’s head, Uncle Sam.

“The U.S. economy shows signs of recovery, with declining unemployment, capital reflow, economic recovery, and stock market fluctuations. Its financial leverage and derivatives markets are extremely developed. Under such circumstances, the North American market can accommodate a large amount of funds.”

“Analyzed from the simplest perspective, funds pour into the financial market, make the index improve, attract funds to follow, and then… boom, there must be a chance of explosion.”

“Pushing up and down is a path, but there is no way to avoid it, raise interest rates!”

“Using high interest rates to offset the risks of hot money, which in turn stabilizes the market’s investment enthusiasm and promotes economic development, is a very correct financial method. Putting money in this kind of market is not without benefits, but the risks are also Yes, so risk and return are directly proportional.”

“What if, after pushing it higher, interest rate hikes are seen as negative?”

“Historically, after the U.S. raises interest rates, what is the chance of the U.S. dollar appreciating? 40%! More often than not, expectations of interest rate hikes are consumed by the early market. When the interest rate hikes are realized, it is the pressure of profit taking that makes the U.S. dollar appreciate. The dollar is overwhelmed.”

“We have reason to believe that will be the case this time as well.”

“What if we go short directly before raising interest rates? Will there be any capacity?”

“If we have enough funds, is there a chance to realize the plan?”

“So, I need to release the restrictions on Asia Financial Investment, and then let the Asia-Pacific position pressure be exerted on the North American market, and finally… take it out and sell short!”

Lei Hao slowly explained that the plan is actually very simple. First of all, the adjustment of China’s foreign exchange reserve structure is just a symptom. If the proportion of U.S. dollar assets is reduced, the U.S. dollars will flow to North America. Just as the economic data in the United States is improving, China has seized the opportunity very well. , let the dollars flow through at this time, Uncle Sam pinched his nose and recognized it.

When there is more money, even inflation will make the economy look good, and an appropriate inflation rate will stimulate the economy and create a virtuous cycle. This is the goal of the United States. At this stage, they will let money enter and stimulate the economy. .

The next stage is after the economy picks up, you have to develop industries. However, there is huge pressure to take profits. Uncle Sam’s usual method is to raise interest rates, retain all the money, and then find ways to use the money to stimulate the economy.

Lei Hao’s plan was to go short when expectations of interest rate hikes arose, forcing North American institutions to hedge. This meant directly provoking a financial war. It would be strange if everything went smoothly.

Therefore, Lei Hao needs more resources, so he doesn’t care about equity and directly relaxes restrictions to gain greater management rights and voice, which is equivalent to gaining a chance of victory after provoking a duel.

One Thunderbolt cannot defeat the group of North American financial institutions, but with the addition of European and Asia-Pacific institutions such as HSBC and Ketak, the situation becomes very delicate.

Leo, Su Yiwen, Xiang Yongze, Tao Liyu, Yu Rong, Xia Yibei, Ye Liu and other participants had subconscious expectations. After listening to Lei Hao’s words and analyzing the group’s current situation, they felt deep in their hearts. The fire burned even more vigorously.

Although the risk is high, how can there be a 100% certainty of victory? Real gold is not afraid of fire. Looking at it from another perspective, how can you become real gold without going through the test of fire?

“I have reservations.” Su Yiwen took a step back.

“As long as the plan goes well, we have a chance.” Leo licked his lips, looking excited.

“Thunder’s surname is Lei. Mr. Lei is willing, and I have no objection.” Xiang Yongze’s heart was also beating faster.

“We are still young, and Mr. Lei is still young.” Yu Rong smiled and said something that seemed irrelevant, but there was an inexplicable look in his eyes.

Everyone knows very well that this is a capital operation that makes the king and loser, but as Yu Rong and Xiang Yongze said, Lei Lei’s surname is Lei, and Lei Hao is young. Since he has the qualifications and the opportunity, why not try?

Of course, Leo was right. Only if the plan goes smoothly, will everyone support Lei Hao’s decision and ignite the fuse of the powder keg that can damage the United States.