Future chat group - Chapter 880 Leader? stand out
In this era, financial wars never stop for a minute. The only country that uses finance to colonize the world is the United States, and the pattern of financial wars is very simple.
First, QE or QE-like in the United States, that is, when the US dollar is weak or additional US dollars are issued. When the North American economy is not doing well, US dollars flow out of North America normally and enter other economies. In order to pursue profits, the US dollars flowing out will choose those with development prospects. Not a bad economy.
When these economies that accept dollar inflows develop, the United States, which has a strong foundation, will feel that it is too hard to hold on, so it will choose the time to end QE and let the dollar return to strength. In this case, the dollar will flow back to North America, and other economies will The overall inflationary pressure increases and the economic growth rate is affected.
The most intense financial war will crush the target economy. For example, the economic miracle in South America collapsed, the euro broke, and the Asian financial crisis are some cases. The outflow of funds was too fast and too much, which directly led to economic collapse or semi- collapse.
At this time, a new round of financial war has begun. North America is prosperous, and there are more or less problematic economies elsewhere. In those areas where inflation is too severe, the US dollar can be a strong bargain hunter. When there are too many bargain hunting funds, At that time, it was a new round of dollar weakness.
Then there is the weakness of the US dollar, the strength of the US dollar, the weakness of the US dollar, such wave after wave of shocks, and the button of strength and weakness is in the hands of the United States. Uncle Sam relies on the hegemony of the US dollar to treat the world as a financial colony and harvest It has been tried and tested for decades.
There is another area where other countries have no choice but to maintain the hegemony of the U.S. dollar under the protection of the U.S. military.
Latin America’s economic miracle, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike, the near collapse of the Argentine peso, the outbreak of the Falklands War, the collapse of the Argentine economy, and the Latin American financial crisis.
The United States cut interest rates 24 times in three years, the Asian economy developed, the Four Asian Tigers rose, the U.S. dollar raised interest rates, hundreds of hedge funds in North America defeated the Asia-Pacific, and the Asian financial crisis broke out.
Then the euro took advantage of the opportunity to be born, challenging the status of the US dollar, the Kosovo war broke out, the euro fell by 30% and broke directly, 200 billion of the nearly trillion US dollars were stranded on Hong Kong Island, the United States bombed the Chinese embassy, and all the hot money returned to North America.
The war in Afghanistan, the subprime mortgage crisis, the European debt crisis, the Chinese stock market crash, and a series of other things. People in the financial circle know what is relevant to them, and everyone has accumulated rich experience, that is… they are powerless to the overall situation.
Unless you can defeat the U.S. military, you cannot defeat the U.S. dollar. During the cycle from QE to interest rate hikes in the U.S. dollar, what international financial institutions have to do is to guess the U.S. trends and then follow them to make money. Or to put it another way, It’s called “seizing chips and benefits from the United States.”
This is the frustrating part. You can only make the United States make less money, but you cannot make the United States not make more money. As for the benefits you earn, if they can make up for the economic losses of your country, you will make a profit. If you cannot make up for it, you will be eliminated. America has harvested.
For a country, I have one trillion. Originally, each of the ten financial institutions had 100 billion. After one reincarnation, there were eight 120 billion. I lost 40 billion.
For financial institutions, if I can change myself from 100 billion to 120 billion, I will make 20 billion. This is a conflict of interest between the individual and the country.
Just like Thunder and Yajin Investment, if the U.S. dollar is bound to rise, Lei Hao’s most appropriate approach is to increase U.S. dollar assets. But if the RMB depreciates too much while the U.S. dollar appreciates, then part of the U.S. dollar assets he adds will It is the U.S. dollar sold by the Central Bank of China in order to stabilize the RMB exchange rate. Invisibly, Lei Hao will be a resistance to the stability of the RMB exchange rate.
“If you don’t do this, what can you do?” When he opened the door to the conference room, Lei Hao sighed silently in his heart. After the strength of the US dollar, Thunder and Yajin Investment can also be said to be “normal” financial institutions that added fuel to the flames. .
“Thunder, morning.”
“Good morning, Ray.”
On Monday morning, meetings are commonplace for executives of financial institutions. At this moment, a group of managers were sitting in the conference room of Yajin Investment.
Over the past few months, except for the investment elites of Thunder, the people in power at Yajin Investment all had the dual identities of directors and directors. Positions such as department managers were more of a small role in executing the decisions of senior executives. lead.
“Good morning, everyone, are you here? Can we start the meeting in advance? Personally, I feel that today’s meeting…” When he walked to his own seat, Lei Hao did not sit down, but raised his eyebrows with something in mind. Pointing, he said, “It will be quite long.”
Expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates are gradually increasing. The US dollar has been strong for two months and will continue to rise. Everyone here is very clear about what this means. Of course, everyone has no intention to refute Lei Hao’s words. They all agree. He nodded and then turned his attention to Lei Hao in the middle of the conference room.
Before the meeting, the first thing to do was to make a report. Ye Liu stood up with a stack of information and started to make a report based on the information.
Meanwhile, around the world, undercurrents are simmering.
“If we want to say NO to the U.S. dollar, first of all, we need an institution to stand up. Great Britain will do its part. The Eurozone cannot afford a U.S. dollar with an index of over 100! We need to let those damn financial institutions stand up and take a stand!” London, United Kingdom, At the round table meeting, the old-school John Bull, who had not forgotten the glory of the sun never setting, had a blushing and thick-necked attitude.
“The U.S. dollar staying at 99 and showing a weak downward trend is in line with economic rules. Believe me, the U.S. dollar cannot afford a large amount of selling. As long as we dare, things will not be irreversible. How many reincarnations have happened, every time? If we endure it, won’t we have time to make a comeback?” Some senior leaders in Germany were also dissatisfied.
“In the economic field, Europe, China, and the Asia-Pacific will keep up. In the military field, Russia will not sit back and let the United States do whatever it wants. The world’s accumulated desire to fight back is very strong, and France can strive for a leadership position.” In Paris, France, many people want to be in finance Circle Napoleon.
In addition to competitors, U.S. allies also have weird ideas. When countries such as China and the United Kingdom sell off U.S. dollar assets, Japan, a group of U.S. allies, always takes the blame, and they cannot bear it.
Although there are now strong expectations for a U.S. dollar interest rate hike, from a financial perspective, Japan would rather sell U.S. dollars if it could and let Uncle Sam suffer the consequences. Of course, they are just thinking about it.
Decades of financial colonization have made the U.S. dollar invincible, but people in the financial circle know very well that the accumulated desire to fight back is very strong. As long as we find an opportunity, the United States will be hurt.
However, if there is less noise, the U.S. military will come out to protect the US dollar. If there is less noise, the U.S. dollar can protect the U.S. military. Hegemony cannot be said with words. Looking around the world, who dares to be the leader? Even if someone takes the lead, who would dare to follow? The variables are too great and no one dares to follow.
Precisely because it was impossible, when Lei Hao stated his next direction of operation, there was a dead silence in the conference room.
“I think the U.S. dollar has reached a technical high, and I also think the fundamentals cannot withstand the technical attack, so…” Lei Hao said with strong confidence: “We should short the U.S. dollar!”