Omniscient Investment Point - Chapter 276



Only Noblemtl

276 Standing at the center of practical diplomacy – 1

(1)

The civil war in Africa’s new nation of Laville is increasingly becoming the epicenter of a hurricane, with its effects extending to neighboring countries.

Meanwhile, Afghanistan was also gradually becoming more chaotic as the West, including the US and UK, as well as China and Russia, began to intervene.

When the international situation becomes unstable, exchange rates and oil prices begin to rise.

The same goes for government bond yields, which is why the stock market experienced its first-ever plunge in a long time.

“Only KOSPI fell by more than -2%.”

“KOSDAQ is -3%.”

“There are far more stocks that have fallen than those that have risen.”

“I think now is the time to pick it up.”

“Originally, we should have waited longer. However, since the government has the will to eliminate the Korea discount, it seems like now is the right time… … .”

As the company reorganizes, the executives who have been promoted to executive level are moving back and forth due to the weight of their positions.

He mostly watches my face, but if that’s the case, why did I make him an executive?

“Please organize it and submit a separate report.”

When the meeting ended, Tak Jun-seok remained with a strange expression.

“why?”

“It’s true that stocks are difficult.”

“What would you do if the director said something like that?”

“How can you do that when it’s true? I’m the most jealous of the CC team these days. Their coins are doing well.”

“On the other hand, once it crashes, it is a coin that cannot be stopped.”

“Is that so?”

Tak Jun-seok smiles wryly.

And then he asked me a question.

“What do you think will happen to Block 7?”

“I don’t know. The government will take care of it.”

“Hey, why are you like this? I know you met the Japanese Prime Minister.”

“I don’t have anything to do with negotiations. I don’t know if it’s just Korea and Japan, but I feel like it would be a headache if the US and China got involved? That’s all I can say.”

“Well, I know that story because it’s a rumor circulating in the stock market.”

Mr. Song Jae-hwan, you’ve been spreading this story not only to me, but also to many other people.

I guess you want to see the reaction.

Would it be better to reach an agreement with Japan alone, or would it be better to involve China?

“So? How is the stock market reacting?”

“The prevailing view is that the government will not allow China to intervene.”

“okay.”

“The representative’s reaction is dry. Isn’t this boring?”

“I was against it.”

“Against? Are you saying that you were against China interfering?”

“Yes. Chief Song asked me, so I told him not to include me.”

“Wow, then you might even hit Taiwan?”

“Taiwan is not our country.”

You may criticize it as national egoism, but we must be cool-headed in the face of the logic of power.

Of course, the issue of China attacking Taiwan was closely related to our country.

“But wouldn’t their influence be a joke? Wouldn’t the US step in? In accordance with the principles of the ROK-US alliance, we can’t just sit still.”

“We just have to hit North Korea.”

“Wow… Are you kidding me?”

“No, I’m serious.”

Although I am sincere, I felt like I could speak my mind more comfortably since Tak Jun-seok is not a government official.

However, when I mentioned a preemptive strike against North Korea, which was something that only certain political groups could talk about, Tak Jun-seok’s eyes wavered.

“Oh, don’t get me wrong. I am politically neutral and a pacifist.”

“Well, something like that… … .”

“I just mean what I think. If you’re going to get hit, it’s better to hit first.”

If China attacks Taiwan, there is a high probability that US troops will be deployed to Korea immediately.

There is also a possibility that North Korea, sensing a power vacuum, may misjudge the situation and engage in at least a localized war.

But this is only the perspective of a country that has experienced it thoroughly.

That is, looking at our long history, we are more accustomed to being invaded than to invading others.

“We are. We have only planned scenarios where we block someone who hits us. But what if we plan the opposite? And what if it becomes known that we are serious? Society could be in chaos, so at least among those who are engaged in diplomatic activities between countries.”

“First of all, you won’t believe it, and if you do, you’ll be devastated.”

“Instead, wouldn’t it give China another reason to think twice when it tries to attack Taiwan?”

“hmm…….”

From China’s perspective, there was a belief that South Korea would never strike North Korea first.

If you hit a country that doesn’t have much to lose, the former may suffer greater losses.

I think so too.

But if you get caught up in that thinking and do nothing, you will become a fool in international relations.

This time too.

China keeps trying to spit on the 7th mining area, even though it is not theirs.

“It’s a good thing our representative doesn’t get involved in politics.”

“I don’t plan on doing it in the future either. Hahaha.”

I finished the conversation with a smile.

In fact, it was a conversation that showed that there was no other countermeasure in a situation where the stock market was taking a serious hit.

‘By the way, I wonder if the negotiations are going well.’

(2)

After a while, an announcement was made.

『Joint Development Agreement for the 7th Mining District, Positive Atmosphere Between Korea and Japan』

The credibility of diplomacy depends on who uses it and how it is handled.

Now, this title has been mostly used by major media outlets, and the content has been very positive.

Therefore, this was a passage that showed that negotiations between Korea and Japan had made progress.

Naturally, the title that followed had to be paid attention to as well.

『Is China dreaming about the 7th mining area it had its eyes on?』

Mongni, according to the dictionary definition, means a sinister, spiteful and greedy nature.

That was an accurate expression.

China, which covets other people’s things, was, in a word, dreaming.

The content was also specific.

If South Korea and Japan extend the 7-block agreement, the two countries will end up shaking the peace in East Asia.

‘That’s funny.’

It was a clear threat.

But it was a method that was used because it could be used.

Whether it is a local war or an all-out war, war always results in great losses for both the attacker and the attacked.

In modern times, this phenomenon is even greater.

Especially in the short term, the economic damage is so severe that if the war is prolonged, the people will start to cry out.

However, in a totalitarian state with a one-party dictatorship and controlled media, it was easy to ‘gaslight’ the people.

That is, if a country that has caused damage to one’s own country is designated as an enemy, public opinion will respond by saying that it will go to war, and local wars and all-out wars will break out.

Knowing this, whether theoretically or intuitionally, China’s threat made both South Korea and Japan worry for a moment.

But after a while, we went out a little more aggressively.

First, a former foreign minister brought up the subject.

“If China attacks Taiwan, there will be an economic depression!”

China is not the fast-growing country it used to be.

It was a country that cheered even if it grew by only 5%.

So the scenario is that if a war breaks out, countries that define China as a potential enemy will impose economic sanctions.

Then defense experts came forward one after another.

“China and Taiwan won’t be able to be defeated easily”

『If China Attacks Taiwan, What Will Be the Geopolitical Risks for Korea?』

『In preparation for China’s invasion of Taiwan, we must thoroughly block North Korea’s invasion of the South… … .』

『North Korea’s movements near the Military Demarcation Line are unusual』

Some specific political groups have finally begun to call for a preemptive strike.

“China’s invasion of Taiwan is actually a good opportunity to subdue North Korea”

“The power gap between North and South Korea is much wider than we know.”

In fact, I am one of those people who consider the idea that unification can be achieved through war to be a delusion.

But it wasn’t good that we were always subjected to North Korea’s provocations.

Even if it is a local war, we can show action that we can strike North Korea first.

Is there anyone who hasn’t thought about this?

‘Arthur.’

Thoughts must end as thoughts.

Instead, we need to continue sending such signals behind the scenes to make North Korea nervous.

Maybe that’s why North Korea has been sending us warning messages every day.

If we keep provoking them, they may use nuclear weapons.

Well, it was something like this.

The government did not stay still either.

“If North Korea does not exercise self-restraint, we will take special measures for peace on the Korean Peninsula.”

Although the context is omitted here and there, it seems like the standoff between the two countries is imminent.

In particular, it seems that this was even more true for foreigners, as the KOSPI, which was already plummeting, finally began to draw a downward curve.

I calmly assessed the government’s intentions.

‘You’ve completely turned the frame.’

There’s a reason people get vaccinated.

It is to strengthen acquired immunity by experiencing the pain that may come in the future in advance.

Geopolitical risks seem to be the same.

A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would certainly be a threat, but it could not be more direct than a North Korean provocation.

Eventually, as these risks were repeated, public opinion became more resilient.

Around this time, Song Jae-hwan contacted me, and this time he asked me to meet him secretly.

(4)

“I guess today is about making sure security is tight.”

“That too, and I have a favor to ask.”

“Oh, I have a feeling you’re going to ask me a difficult favor again.”

Song Jae-hwan nods.

“Can’t we change Bang Jeong-hyeon’s mind?”

“Change your mind? What?”

“I want to send him as a special envoy.”

“ah…….”

It was the right fit.

He was well aware of Washington politics, and Japan also had influence in politics.

But the direction is also wrong.

Because it wasn’t those two countries.

“I’m thinking of sending it to China.”

“Huh? No, does he know Chinese politicians too?”

“Yes. From what we’ve found out, his Chinese guanxi domain is probably one of the best in our country.”

“and…….”

I stuck out my tongue.

As a diplomatic human resource, he must have been truly remarkable.

“But is the underlying purpose of this an attempt to appease China?”

“It’s the opposite.”

“If it’s the opposite… … ?”

“It’s for blackmail.”

“omg…….”

I keep using exclamation marks.

Because it was going against my expectations.

“An eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth, threat for threat?”

“Although there are still many industries that are heavily dependent on China, our country has already gone through a considerable amount of restructuring toward industries in the US and Europe. However, if China continues to act this way, we will be prepared for the economic shock and plan to reorganize our industries more rapidly.”

“Do you mean to tell China about this?”

“You mean you’re going to tell the special envoy? Then, the special envoy might be able to threaten China with more courage.”

I like it because it’s refreshing.

But diplomacy is no joke.

If we are not careful and provoke China, our country could suffer great economic damage.

“So, what was the content of the threat?”

“We will not remain silent even in the face of North Korea’s small provocations.”

“haha…….”

It is a threat that can be interpreted depending on the listener’s situation.

It’s not a preemptive strike, but it’s something we’re doing with local warfare in mind.

“Instead, he is a secret envoy. That is, he goes and delivers it secretly.”

“Hmm, I’m not sure. I wonder if Chairman Bang will step forward… … . At least the secret envoy thing is a bit harsh.”

“You turned it down when we offered it to you. So we’re asking you.”

“Okay, I understand.”

I accepted the request to ask that gentleman for a favor.

‘By the way, where are you now, sir…?’